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Are You Taking the Right Amount of Risk?

Risk, especially in the context of investing, often gets a bad rap. When people think about investing risk, they often think about the risk of loss. For example, when someone buys a stock, they may frame their perception of how “risky” it is around the probability of that stock suffering a significant price decline. This is certainly part of investing risk, but not the entire picture.

In actuality, investing risk is simply the uncertainty that actual portfolio or security returns will differ from expected returns. Risk, therefore, can manifest itself as both underperformance and overperformance. When buying a stock for example, it is the job of the investor to establish the expected return they seek to achieve over a certain time frame. Given the current price of the stock, the investor must then weigh the probabilities of the stock both underperforming and overperforming that expectation in order to arrive at a buy or sell decision.

Most investors tend to think of risk solely in terms of downside, and therefore as something to minimize or protect against. However, when evaluating your own portfolio, the real question to ask yourself is not whether your portfolio is risky – it’s whether the level of risk properly aligns with your goals.

At one end of the risk spectrum is underexposure. This often shows up as sitting heavily in cash, over-allocating to conservative assets, or avoiding the market after a downturn. It can feel safe in the moment, but over time this kind of underexposure quietly erodes purchasing power and limits growth. Inflation becomes a silent risk, steadily eating away at your portfolio. At the other end is overexposure. This can look like concentrating too much in a single stock, piling into volatile sectors, or reacting emotionally to market trends. The upside may be exciting, but the downside can be crushing.

The right level of risk likely lives somewhere in between, and is unique to each individual investor. It will depend on your time horizon, income stability, goals, and tolerance for volatility. A 25-year-old building long-term wealth can afford to take on more equity exposure than someone nearing retirement who needs stability and income. Yet even this is not absolute—risk tolerance is as much psychological as it is financial. It is important to differentiate “risk tolerance” from “risk capacity.” Risk tolerance is your emotional ability to endure volatility. Risk capacity, on the other hand, is your financial ability to withstand losses based on investing time horizon and resources. The right portfolio will align both, because ignoring either one can lead to issues, whether that is unnecessary anxiety or insufficient growth.

One useful way to evaluate your portfolio is to look beyond returns and focus on behavior. How did you feel during the last market dip? Did you stay invested, rebalance, or panic and sell? Your reaction may reveal whether your current level of risk is sustainable, or if you need to adjust your overall risk exposure. After all, a portfolio only works if you are able to stick with it.

Diversification is one of the best ways that investors can practice risk management. By spreading investments across asset classes, sectors, and geographies, diversification allows you to create a portfolio that can absorb idiosyncratic shocks and still move forward. Consider a simple example. Two investors each have $100,000. One spreads this money between stocks and bonds, and within those asset classes they diversify among different sectors and geographies. The other puts that money into a handful of speculative stocks. For the first investor, if a single name in their portfolio experiences a significant change in value (either up or down), their overall portfolio value will not change dramatically because they have spread their bets across many different securities. For the second investor however, this kind of event can significantly impact the total portfolio due to the high level of concentration. Neither approach is necessarily wrong as the investors may have different long-term goals. However, a diversified approach certainly helps to decrease company-specific risk. Taking the right amount of risk is not about predicting the market. It is about building a portfolio you can commit to through uncertainty. That means setting an allocation, rebalancing periodically, and resisting the urge to make drastic changes based on short-term noise. If your portfolio never makes you uncomfortable, you might not be taking enough risk to reach your goals. If it keeps you up at night, you are probably taking too much. The sweet spot is likely somewhere in between. In the end, investing is not a competition for the highest return, but a long-term process of aligning risk with purpose. The goal is to intentionally manage risk so that your portfolio can work for you in pursuit of your goals.